{"id":183,"date":"2009-03-22T17:21:51","date_gmt":"2009-03-22T16:21:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/?page_id=183"},"modified":"2020-05-13T17:13:07","modified_gmt":"2020-05-13T16:13:07","slug":"2008-2","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/?page_id=183","title":{"rendered":"2008"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 style=\"margin-top: 30px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Artikel in Fachzeitschriften mit Peer Review<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Thorsten Faas, Christian Mackenrodt, R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck: Polls That Mattered: Effects of Media Polls on Voters\u2019 Coalition Expectations and Party Preferences in the 2005 German Parliamentary Election, in: <em>International Journal of Public Opinion Research<\/em>, 20, 2008, S. 299\u2013325. <a>[Abstract]<\/a>\n<div id=\"Polls2008\" class=\"abstract\" style=\"display: none;\">While much speculated on, the effects of media polls on citizens\u2019 political perceptions and preferences have remained notoriously elusive in empirical research, in particular in field research using representative surveys. Applying a unique data base\u2014a twowave pre- and post-election panel survey of German voters whose first wave was designed as a rolling cross-section survey supplemented on a day-by-day basis with published data from media polls\u2014this article demonstrates that polls mattered in the 2005 German parliamentary election in various ways. Combining aggregate-level timeseries analyses with individual-level regression analyses, the study shows that expectations concerning the coalition seen as the most likely outcome of the election were strongly influenced by combined party shares reported by polling news. In particular, this pertained to voters who closely followed the polls. Our findings also indicate that at least for some parties polls even had an impact on voting behavior itself. Vote choices for the SPD and voting intentions for the Leftist Party were positively influenced by polling reports that suggested an improved standing of these parties. At least for the Social Democrats this again especially concerned voters who paid close attention to that kind of media content.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 style=\"margin-top: 30px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Artikel in sonstigen Fachzeitschriften<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Thorsten Faas, R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck: Die PVS und die deutsche Politikwissenschaft: Kurzbericht zur Umfrage unter den Mitgliedern der DVPW, in: <em>Politikwissenschaft \u2013 Rundbrief der Deutschen Vereinigung f\u00fcr Politische Wissenschaft<\/em>, 139, 2008, S. 33\u201335.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Thorsten Faas, R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck: Die deutsche Politikwissenschaft und ihre Publikationen \u2013 Ist und Soll: Ergebnisse einer Umfrage unter den Mitgliedern der DVPW, in: <em>Politikwissenschaft \u2013 Rundbrief der Deutschen Vereinigung f\u00fcr Politische Wissenschaft<\/em>, 139, 2008, S. 166\u2013176.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck, Christian Mackenrodt, Thorsten Faas: Hintergr\u00fcnde kommunaler Wahlbeteiligung: Eine Fallstudie zur Kommunalwahl 2004 in Duisburg, in: <em>Zeitschrift f\u00fcr Parlamentsfragen<\/em>, 39, 2008, S. 561\u2013580. <a>[Abstract]<\/a>\n<div id=\"WBT2008\" class=\"abstract\" style=\"display: none;\">Die Beteiligung an Kommunalwahlen geh\u00f6rt zu den \u201eblindesten\u201c Flecken der empirischen Wahlsoziologie. Vor diesem Hintergrund wurde anl\u00e4sslich der Kommunalwahl 2004 in Nordrhein-Westfalen in Duisburg eine Fallstudie mittels einer telefonischen Umfrage durchgef\u00fchrt. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass eine Palette von Faktoren sowohl individueller als auch kontextbasierter Art die Teilnahme an lokalen Wahlen beeinflusst. Zu ersteren z\u00e4hlt die Wahrnehmung von mangelnder Kompetenz und Responsivit\u00e4t der Parteien (gerade auch auf lokaler Ebene), aber auch Unzufriedenheit mit der Demokratie insgesamt. Ebenso lassen sich Effekte instrumenteller Erw\u00e4gungen, einer internalisierten Wahlnorm sowie einer hohen politischen Involvierung nachweisen. Was das soziale Umfeld betrifft, so zeigt sich, dass eine Bindung an die Stadt Duisburg sowie ein hohes Ma\u00df an sozialem Vertrauen partizipationsf\u00f6rderlich sind. Noch gewichtigere Determinanten sind politisch gepr\u00e4gte Interaktionen in sozialen Netzwerken: Gerade sozial verankerte Wahlnormen sind \u2013 neben einem Interesse an Kommunalpolitik \u2013 genuine Einflussfaktoren auf die kommunale Wahlbeteiligung.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 style=\"margin-top: 30px; margin-bottom: 20px;\">Artikel in Sammelb\u00e4nden<\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck, Thorsten Faas: The Campaign and its Dynamics at the 2005 German General Election, in: Clayton Clemens, Thomas Saalfeld (Hrsg.): <em>The German Election of 2005: Voters, Parties and Grand Coalition Politics<\/em>, London: Routledge, 2008, S. 59\u201385. <a>[Abstract]<\/a>\n<div id=\"Campaign2008\" class=\"abstract\" style=\"display: none;\">When on the eve of the Northrhine-Westphalia state election on 22 May, 2005, SPD Chancellor Gerhard Schr\u00f6der announced that he had decided to seek an early election, he took the whole nation by surprise. Although none of them had been prepared to do so, the parties immediately shifted into campaign mode. What followed was one of the most intense and turbulent election campaigns of recent German political history. The article describes the fundamental preconditions and basic features that all parties\u2019 electioneering had in common, and gives an account of the objectives and strategies of the different parties. The campaign\u2019s main line of cleavage was between CDU\/CSU and FDP on the one hand, and the SPD on the other. Media polls let the victory of the former two parties\u2019 reform coalition appear as an almost foregone conclusion during most of the race. The SPD avoided a clear coalition commitment, and was forced to fight a two-front battle \u2013 against the reformist \u2018Black-yellow\u2019 camp on the one hand, and against the new Leftist Party on the other. In its campaign, the SPD took a decisive step to the left, highlighting issues of welfare and social justice. It fiercely attacked CDU\/CSU and FDP and was rewarded by its core electorate at the polls. In contrast, opting for an agenda of liberal reforms that were by German standards unusually radical and contradicted the preferences of most voters made it difficult for the CDU\/CSU to maintain its high level of mobilization. In the end, although the upcoming election had long seemed a done deal, the SPD managed to remobilise enough former supporters to emerge from the election almost on par with the CDU\/CSU. Even at its very end, the 2005 campaign saw considerable dynamics. Presumably in response to the FDP\u2019s and the Greens\u2019 aggressive second-vote campaigns, substantial numbers of voters moved from the large parties to their smaller implicit or explicit partners. As later in the campaign a Grand Coalition began to appear as the likely outcome of this election, these voters decided to support the parties that represented the \u2018purer\u2019 versions of their political vision: the Greens in the case of \u2018red-green\u2019 previous adherents of the SPD, and even more strongly, the FDP in the case of market-liberal adherents of the CDU\/CSU.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Ansgar Wolsing, Thorsten Faas: K\u00f6nnen offene Online-Umfragen dynamische Prozesse der Einstellungsentwicklung erfassen? In: Nikolaus Jackob, Harald Schoen, Thomas Zerback (Hrsg.): <em>Sozialforschung im Internet: Methodologie und Praxis der Online-Befragung<\/em>, Wiesbaden: VS Verlag f\u00fcr Sozialwissenschaften, 2008, S. 213\u2013232.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Thorsten Faas, Harald Schoen: Fallen Gewichte ins Gewicht? Eine Analyse am Beispiel dreier Umfragen zur Bundestagswahl 2002, in: Nikolaus Jackob, Harald Schoen, Thomas Zerback (Hrsg.): <em>Sozialforschung im Internet: Methodologie und Praxis der Online-Befragung<\/em>, Wiesbaden: VS Verlag f\u00fcr Sozialwissenschaften, 2008, S. 145\u2013157.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Thorsten Faas, Sebastian Holler, Ansgar Wolsing: Wenig Aufwand, viel Ertrag? Erfahrungen aus acht Online-Befragungen von Direktkandidaten bei Landtagswahlen, in: Nikolaus Jackob, Harald Schoen, Thomas Zerback (Hrsg.): <em>Sozialforschung im Internet: Methodologie und Praxis der Online-Befragung<\/em>, Wiesbaden: VS Verlag f\u00fcr Sozialwissenschaften, 2008, S. 339\u2013353.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-top: 15px;\">Sebastian Holler, Sven Vollnhals, Thorsten Faas: Focal Points und Journalisten: Bedingungen f\u00fcr den Einfluss der Blogosph\u00e4re? In: Ansgar Zerfa\u00df, Martin Welker, Jan Schmidt (Hrsg.): <em>Kommunikation, Partizipation und Wirkungen im Social Web. Band 1: Grundlagen und Methoden: Von der Gesellschaft zum Individuum<\/em>, K\u00f6ln: Halem, 2008, S. 94\u2013111. <a>[Abstract]<\/a>\n<div id=\"Blogs2008\" class=\"abstract\" style=\"display: none;\">Wie kann von der Menge an Informationen, die die Blogosph\u00e4re tagt\u00e4glich liefert, ein Einfluss auf die \u00d6ffentlichkeit ausgehen? Wir pr\u00fcfen im Rahmen dieses Beitrags ein Modell, das auf zwei Stufen aufbaut: Zun\u00e4chst suchen wir innerhalb der Blogosph\u00e4re nach Focal Points in Form von prominenten Blogs, die die Informationen der Blogosph\u00e4re insgesamt verdichten. Anschlie\u00dfend pr\u00fcfen wir, ob Journalisten \u2013 als Akteure etablierter Massenmedien \u2013 auf diese Blogs zur\u00fcckgreifen und die dort vorhandenen Informationen weiter verbreiten. W\u00e4hrend wir Hinweise auf die Existenz von Focal Points finden, erweisen sich die Journalisten als \u00e4u\u00dferst blogkritisch.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Artikel in Fachzeitschriften mit Peer Review Thorsten Faas, Christian Mackenrodt, R\u00fcdiger Schmitt-Beck: Polls That Mattered: Effects of Media Polls on Voters\u2019 Coalition Expectations and Party Preferences in the 2005 German Parliamentary Election, in: International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 20, 2008, S. 299\u2013325. [Abstract] While much speculated on, the effects of media polls on citizens\u2019 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":63,"menu_order":215,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-183","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=183"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/183\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/63"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thorstenfaas.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}